Top Ten Most Upsetting Schools

The analysis so far.  This is for schools that have a record over the last 40 years.

Notes:  SEC is well represented with 4 teams. Pac-12 is well represented with 3 teams.  Scrappy teams from both conferences have frequent opportunities to play highly-ranked teams and stage upsets.  This is especially true for Michigan State as it gets to play Ohio State, Penn State, and Michigan regularly.

School	Upset Average
Michigan State	Total upset score over 40 years is 5403.  Average per year is 135.075
Stanford	Total upset score over 40 years is 5318.  Average per year is 132.95
Arizona	Total upset score over 40 years is 5285.  Average per year is 132.125
Arkansas	Total upset score over 40 years is 4697.  Average per year is 117.425
Texas	Total upset score over 40 years is 4249.  Average per year is 106.225
UCLA	Total upset score over 40 years is 4188.  Average per year is 104.7
Georgia Tech	Total upset score over 40 years is 4154.  Average per year is 103.85
Louisiana State	Total upset score over 40 years is 3912.  Average per year is 97.8
Texas A&M	Total upset score over 40 years is 3866.  Average per year is 96.65
Mississippi State	Total upset score over 40 years is 3663.  Average per year is 91.575

Top Ten Statistical Upsets (so far)

This is during the last forty years.  Not all teams analyzed yet, but pretty close.

Total Upset Score	Result	Upset Score	Away Bonus	Blowout Bonus
350	On Oct 17, 1981, unranked Arkansas defeated 1st ranked Texas by 31 points at home.	250	0	100
336	On Oct 20, 2018, unranked Purdue defeated 2nd ranked Ohio State by 29 points at home.	240	0	96
336	On Nov 17, 2012, unranked Baylor defeated 2nd ranked Kansas State by 28 points at home.	240	0	96
336	On Nov 11, 2006, unranked Georgia defeated 5th ranked Auburn by 22 points away.	210	42	84
322	On Oct 5, 1985, unranked Arizona defeated 3rd ranked SMU by 22 points at home.	230	0	92
322	On Oct 22, 2003, unranked West Virginia defeated 3rd ranked Virginia Tech by 21 points at home.	230	0	92
322	On Nov 4, 2017, unranked Iowa defeated 3rd ranked Ohio State by 31 points at home.	230	0	92
322	On Nov 17, 2016, unranked Houston defeated 3rd ranked Louisville by 26 points at home.	230	0	92
308	On Oct 3, 2015, 25th ranked Florida defeated 3rd ranked Ole Miss by 28 points at home.	220	0	88
308	On Oct 1, 1983, unranked Illinois defeated 4th ranked Iowa by 33 points at home.	220	0	88

AAC 40-Year Analysis Posted

Not all teams currently in the AAC have continuous football schedules for the last 40 years.  This group has very few upsets among them.  The best being:

On Nov 17, 2016, unranked Houston defeated 3rd ranked Louisville by 26 points at home.